PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000202
MQ-000202
Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Tel Aviv · Israeli Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:15 UTC
Every row here is an append-only ledger record: it cannot be edited or deleted at the database level. A new version is added as a new row; the previous one stays.
גרסה 1
1X2 · HOME · 40.6% · confidence 45
- Fair price
- 2.47
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:13 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:13 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 03:13 UTCf4416…d8d6
f4416b7b92031c9f853833ef2749152decf68778e5a37cab648fc0f701f7d8d6
{
"confidenceScore": 45,
"dataQualityScore": 0,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtdt36pu00pxr6quxo4usor9",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.47,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T03:13:33.995Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.405542,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T03:13:33.995Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}גרסה 2 · קודמת MQ-000202
1X2 · AWAY · 40.7% · confidence 58 · reason: IL1 history loaded
- Fair price
- 2.45
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC547dc…18cf
547dc73fb3a7e837f265d0f17b7a67050bdfd6adf86fb83115e8bb58d7f618cf
{
"confidenceScore": 58,
"dataQualityScore": 24,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtdtijlq00d1r6oyg4omfjpb",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T03:25:30.514Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.40744,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T03:25:30.514Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}גרסה 3 · קודמת MQ-000202.v2
1X2 · AWAY · 40.7% · confidence 61 · reason: IL1 odds loaded
- Fair price
- 2.45
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC89251…ff0d
89251aa8c7ed6fee8d8368a00e2932fc78120326bef3454a0056e61f3895ff0d
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtdtjjo000c7r6040gytun4h",
"edge": -0.133611,
"fairOdds": 2.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T03:26:16.611Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.40744,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T03:26:16.611Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}גרסה 4 · קודמת MQ-000202.v2.v3
1X2 · AWAY · 39.3% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 2.54
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC831f7…bb21
831f7c7b90132547ad217fd42113a78f063754cb4f4d75633e93e521168dbb21
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrgqv00ptl1044fzosir5",
"edge": -0.147599,
"fairOdds": 2.54,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.393452,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}גרסה 5 · קודמת MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4
1X2 · AWAY · 40.7% · confidence 61 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 2.45
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC1b0d2…e954
1b0d273075e88cbbfce428183aecb96ad161a34283804d00a76a07799d9de954
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfadh00s5r6xf4c7ymelb",
"edge": -0.133611,
"fairOdds": 2.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.40744,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}גרסה 6 · קודמת MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5
1X2 · AWAY · 39.3% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 2.54
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC58daa…dfd9
58daa79f25cd56f5c053f9b51500cfef4f3a1ebb89c08701e5e23e6312ffdfd9
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteus9sp007lkz04ueflmrtk",
"edge": -0.147599,
"fairOdds": 2.54,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.393452,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}גרסה 7 · קודמת MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
1X2 · AWAY · 40.7% · confidence 61 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 2.45
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC7308c…c452
7308c572afed5a647e36f5ab08b0e70ab1ff3c9df0037258cdf10e3c6bcec452
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewccay00dvr6yd8wmp5s7c",
"edge": -0.133611,
"fairOdds": 2.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.40744,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}גרסה 8 · קודמת MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
1X2 · AWAY · 39.3% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 2.54
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC69552…3ed8
695528aa0cbdf9eec870aabaa3e5dcef8c6d826e8c792f0ab8e4751c914a3ed8
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvpoa0081l804l7024yk4",
"edge": -0.147599,
"fairOdds": 2.54,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.393452,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}גרסה 9 · קודמת MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
1X2 · AWAY · 40.7% · confidence 61 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 2.45
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTCd55ca…1a82
d55ca4db0f0af47520f3ffc43aa29a691995f595644e8eaaec337a8150cf1a82
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1z9i000dvr6c4u9vsvjhm",
"edge": -0.133611,
"fairOdds": 2.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.40744,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000202.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}WinPIQ אינה קשורה ל-Winner / המועצה להסדר ההימורים בספורט. כל המידע הוא ניתוח והערכת הסתברויות בלבד, לא ייעוץ ולא הבטחה.