WinPIQ's recommendation of the day
Lyonv
Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 16:45 UTC
The strongest opportunity WinPIQ sees before kickoff today. Not a guarantee — a measurement.
WinPIQ Radarwhere WinPIQ disagrees with the market
Value Finder
Ranked by how strong the opportunity is: how sure we are, how far our probability sits from the price, and how deep the market is. These are disagreements with the market, not guaranteed value.
Opportunity Radar
22 fixtures · 6 Waiting for market · 16 Assessment still forming
Live edge states: the model against the price you are quoted, and how that edge moved in the last 3 hours. A state is information — the decision still comes from the verdict.
- WinPIQ probabilityWinPIQ's estimate of the chance this outcome happens, based on the information available right now. · It's the starting point for every decision on the page — every other number is compared against it. · A 70% call still loses about 3 times in 10 — it is not a promise. Full definition →
- 64%
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- —
- Analysis strengthHow complete the picture behind this call is, expressed in words rather than a raw number. · A strong call and a well-supported one are not always the same thing — this says how well-supported it is. · The lowest reading is 'assessment still forming.' Full definition →
- High
Waiting for market- WinPIQ probabilityWinPIQ's estimate of the chance this outcome happens, based on the information available right now. · It's the starting point for every decision on the page — every other number is compared against it. · A 70% call still loses about 3 times in 10 — it is not a promise. Full definition →
- 37%
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- —
- Analysis strengthHow complete the picture behind this call is, expressed in words rather than a raw number. · A strong call and a well-supported one are not always the same thing — this says how well-supported it is. · The lowest reading is 'assessment still forming.' Full definition →
- Assessment still forming
Assessment still forming
| Kickoff | Match | Pick | WinPIQ probabilityWinPIQ's estimate of the chance this outcome happens, based on the information available right now. · It's the starting point for every decision on the page — every other number is compared against it. · A 70% call still loses about 3 times in 10 — it is not a promise. Full definition → | Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition → | Analysis strengthHow complete the picture behind this call is, expressed in words rather than a raw number. · A strong call and a well-supported one are not always the same thing — this says how well-supported it is. · The lowest reading is 'assessment still forming.' Full definition → | State | Last change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | LyonvCrystal Palace UEFA Europa League | 1 | 64% | — | High | Waiting for market | |
| 19:45 | AZ Alkmaarv Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa League | 1 | 37% | — | Assessment still forming | Assessment still forming |
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Value Finder — every fixture where our probability and the market's price disagree
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