WinPIQ · FAIR PRICE
A prediction without a valid price is not a decision
The same selection can be a reasonable decision at 2.10 and a poor one at 1.84. WinPIQ turns every probability into a fair price, a minimum acceptable price and a price zone that expires on a real timestamp.
Fair odds = 1 / probability
A 54% view is fair at 1.85. Anything below that price implies the book is more confident than the model; anything above is where the discussion starts.
Minimum acceptable price
We add the uncertainty budget to the probability before inverting it. The result is the price below which the thesis no longer compensates for what we do not know.
No fake countdowns
“Valid until” is the next real price refresh or five minutes before kickoff — whichever comes first. If we cannot explain a timer, we do not show one.
Match of the day · Celta v Ath Bilbao
- Fair odds
- 1.81
- Minimum acceptable
- 1.98
- Operator price
- no price
- Zone
- Information event ahead
- State
- Wait for the market