WinPIQ · TIME MACHINE
Train your judgment on matches that already happened
A real past match, frozen at kickoff: form, ratings and the closing market as they were, result hidden. Estimate the probabilities, decide, then see the truth — and a decision-quality score that does not care whether you got lucky.
Blind by design
Only information legitimately available before kickoff is shown. Nothing after the whistle leaks into the case.
Scored on calibration
Brier score against the result, compared with the closing market. Correct winner with an inflated probability is scored as overconfident, not as skill.
Useful on Mondays
One free case a day. Streaks and calibration history for members. No money, ever.
When we say 60%, does it happen 60% of the time?
Backtest · 2022/23–2026/277,135 matches
30–40%39% → 38% n=898
40–50%45% → 45% n=2664
50–60%54% → 56% n=2253
60–70%65% → 68% n=919
70–80%75% → 77% n=342
80–90%83% → 84% n=50
90–100%93% → 89% n=9
predicted observed
Live, settled759 matches
30–40%38% → 37% n=41
40–50%44% → 41% n=125
50–60%54% → 61% n=396
60–70%64% → 66% n=164
70–80%73% → 86% n=29
80–90%81% → 75% n=4
predicted observed