Coventry v 
Hull
Hull 44%
WinPIQ does not see enough of an edge at the current price.
WinPIQ's call is PASS on Coventry vs Hull. Hull is the most likely result, but the price does not clear WinPIQ's bar.
- WinPIQ probabilityWinPIQ's estimate of the chance this outcome happens, from 0–100%. It is not a promise: a 70% call still loses about 3 times in 10.
- 44%
- Fair price (WinPIQ)The odds WinPIQ's own probability implies, with no bookmaker margin — the 'true' price before the house's cut.
- 2.27
- Minimum priceThe lowest price at which this selection still has value — below it, the price no longer compensates for the risk.
- 2.77
- ConfidenceHow sure WinPIQ is about this call, combining model agreement, data and lineup certainty — one label, not a score.
- Medium confidence
Quick verdict
- FormRecent form supports this pick
- StrengthDefensive stability supports this pick
- StrengthAttacking strength supports this pick
- OtherHull are missing 18 players
- OtherKick-off within 3h and no lineup information
Market & price
No operator price is available right now
fair 2.27The odds WinPIQ's own probability implies, with no bookmaker margin — the 'true' price before the house's cut.acceptable from 2.77The lowest price at which this selection still has value — below it, the price no longer compensates for the risk.
Post-match summary
Market
Market vs AI
| Selection | AI | Market (no-vig) | Price | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28.3% | — | — | 3.54 | — |
| X | 27.7% | — | — | 3.60 | — |
| 2 | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 | — |
Decision state · WINPIQ PASS
Kickoff has passed; the pre-match analysis no longer applies
Why Analysis expired? ↓
Price zones and decision states are model-generated decision support — not a guaranteed outcome. No countdowns: “valid until” is the next real price refresh.
Market coherence · same thesis, different market
Cross-market residuals and margin map (Edge) ↓
Disagreement between markets is “cross-market discrepancy — review”, not an opportunity. Margin shows embedded cost per market structure — never an instruction to stake more.
More markets
Advanced
No suitable opportunity in this match yet.
Probability ≠ confidence ≠ edge ≠ recommendation. Four different numbers, on purpose.
- Probability
- 44%
- Fair odds (AI)
- 2.27
- Operator price
- no price
- Market (no-vig)
- —
- Edge
- +23.7 pp
- EV at the operator price
- —
- Confidence
- 57/100
- Model agreement
- 3/4
- Risk
- High
Why 64? ↓
- How clear the match is to the model14.2/25
- How many of our analysts agree11.3/15
- How much more than the odds we give it25/25
- How many bookmakers price the match10/10
- A price you can take right now0/5
The call (No opportunity right now) follows fixed rules on edge and confidence — not the score.
- Model
- 44%
- Edge
- +23.7pp
- Conviction
- Low
- Uncertainty
- High
AI Committee
- 1. Hull are missing 18 players HIGH
- 2. Kick-off within 3h and no lineup information MEDIUM
Why?
Risks
- Home advantage: −1.5
- Rest days: −0.7
- The picture is still forming — no call yet.
- Confidence 57/100 — the models do not fully agree or the sample is small.
What could change the call?
Probability distribution
The case · 2
balance -45Starting XI not confirmed — the model assumes an expected lineup
- recent form (+4.0)
- defense (+3.4)
- attack (+2.7)
- Starting XI not confirmed — the model assumes an expected lineup
- Hull are missing 18 players
- Kick-off within 3h and no lineup information
- A key player is missing from the confirmed XI
- Two or more models switch away from the pick
Derived from stored factors, model votes, market movement and lineups — not written to persuade.
Team strength
Recent form
Proof & history
Prediction Proof
- Id
- MQ-000070.v2.v3.v4
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 06:10 UTC
- Locked
- not yet
- Model
- ens_v0.1
- Hash
- c812a…2679
- Version
- v4 (previous: MQ-000070.v2.v3)
Prediction timeline
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCInitial model · 2 44%
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTCVersion 2 · 2 44% (+0pp) · Market prices added
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:13 UTCVersion 3 · 2 46% (+1.9pp) · Model refresh
- Sat 29 Aug · 06:10 UTCVersion 4 · 2 44% (−1.9pp) · Model refresh
Experts & community
What do the experts say?
Alan ShearerAI summary Of 2 tracked experts, 1 lean Coventry win, 1 the draw and 0 Hull win. The WinPIQ model gives Coventry win a lower chance than the consensus and prefers Hull win (44%).
Published before the news on an injury
Consensus is shown from 3 verified picks.
Fewer than 3 verified expert picks — no consensus shown. · Confidence matrix: Mixed confidence
Content is based on public statements and publications. A commentator's appearance does not indicate collaboration or sponsorship. Expert Room →
Your Expert Room
Chris Sutton leans Coventry (no reasoning stated in the source), while Alan Shearer leans the draw (no reasoning stated in the source).
- Alan Shearer31/100
- Chris Sutton31/100
Match expertise = relevance + experience + domain record. Not prediction accuracy.
Needs 3+ verified picks and a model.
Answers only from the verified opinions in this room. No verified opinion → it says so.
2 verified opinions in the pool · room assembled by relevance, recognition in your region, expertise, freshness, credibility and the experts you follow — never engagement.
AI · Market · Experts · Community
Coventry v Hull: expert predictions enter only from licensed sources and only when explicit.