Getafe v 
La Coruna
WinPIQ DecisionWatchGetafe — Waiting for confirmation
Interesting. Not strong enough yet.
- Confidence
- Medium
- Analysis strength
- Assessment still forming
- WinPIQ's probability
- 35%
- Not below
- +320
The picture is still forming — WinPIQ is waiting for more of this match to come into view.
Several counter-arguments weigh on this view, so confidence is reduced.
- 1.Home advantage
Getafe are missing 13 players
- Two or more models switch away from the pick
Updated Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
WinPIQ changed its view
The case against
WinPIQ's readings and the case against — four angles on every major call, and the argument against it
ProWhat am I missing?
- 5 doubtful players on Getafe's side — the XI is not settled
Getafe 35%
WinPIQ does not see enough of an edge here.
WinPIQ's call is PASS on Getafe vs La Coruna. Getafe is the most likely result, but the price does not clear WinPIQ's bar.
- WinPIQ probabilityWinPIQ's estimate of the chance this outcome happens, based on the information available right now. · It's the starting point for every decision on the page — every other number is compared against it. · A 70% call still loses about 3 times in 10 — it is not a promise. Full definition →
- 35%
- Fair odds by WinPIQThe odds WinPIQ's own probability implies, before the operator's margin is added. · It's the benchmark for whether a live price is worth taking. · 50% implies fair odds of 2.00. Full definition →
- 2.86
- The lowest price at which this selection still has valueBelow this price, the edge no longer covers the risk. · It marks where the price stops being worth the risk. · If the minimum price is 1.85 and the market offers 1.80, the edge is gone. Full definition →
- 4.20
- Decision confidenceHow sure WinPIQ is about this call, combining model agreement, data and lineup certainty into one label. · It tells you how much weight to put on the call itself, separate from the price. · High confidence with a short price is a different situation than high confidence with a long one. Full definition →
- Medium
Squad readiness
- Zaid Romero · DF · Suspended · medium impact
Doubtful: Francho Serrano, Abdel Abqar, Kiko Femenia +1 more
1 key player out, 4 doubtful
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · FW · Out · high impact
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · FW · Out · high impact
Doubtful: Lorenzo Amatucci, Noé Carrillo, Zakaria Eddahchouri
2 key players out, 3 doubtful
Market & price
No operator price is available right now
fair +186The odds WinPIQ's own probability implies, before the operator's margin is added. · It's the benchmark for whether a live price is worth taking. · 50% implies fair odds of 2.00. Full definition →acceptable from +320Below this price, the edge no longer covers the risk. · It marks where the price stops being worth the risk. · If the minimum price is 1.85 and the market offers 1.80, the edge is gone. Full definition →
Form
Getafe's form has been about average once opponent strength is factored in.
La Coruna have been in strong form once opponent strength is factored in.
What could change the call?
- Confirmation on Martín Satriano
- The prediction is locked. A new version is published separately if material information arrives.
Post-match summary
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