La Coruna v 
Levante
WinPIQ DecisionWatchLa Coruna — Waiting for confirmation
Interesting. Not strong enough yet.
- Confidence
- Medium
- Analysis strength
- Good
- WinPIQ's probability
- 49%
- Not below
- +146
Expected lineups only — official confirmation is still pending.
WinPIQ's readings disagree, so confidence is reduced.
- 1.Team strength
La Coruna are missing 14 players
- A key player is missing from the confirmed XI
Updated Mon 12 Oct · 21:12 UTC
The case against
WinPIQ's readings and the case against — four angles on every major call, and the argument against it
ProWhat am I missing?
- 3 doubtful players on La Coruna's side — the XI is not settled
La Coruna 49%
WinPIQ does not see enough of an edge here.
WinPIQ's call is PASS on La Coruna vs Levante. La Coruna is the most likely result, but the price does not clear WinPIQ's bar.
- WinPIQ probabilityWinPIQ's estimate of the chance this outcome happens, based on the information available right now. · It's the starting point for every decision on the page — every other number is compared against it. · A 70% call still loses about 3 times in 10 — it is not a promise. Full definition →
- 49%
- Fair odds by WinPIQThe odds WinPIQ's own probability implies, before the operator's margin is added. · It's the benchmark for whether a live price is worth taking. · 50% implies fair odds of 2.00. Full definition →
- 2.04
- The lowest price at which this selection still has valueBelow this price, the edge no longer covers the risk. · It marks where the price stops being worth the risk. · If the minimum price is 1.85 and the market offers 1.80, the edge is gone. Full definition →
- 2.46
- Decision confidenceHow sure WinPIQ is about this call, combining model agreement, data and lineup certainty into one label. · It tells you how much weight to put on the call itself, separate from the price. · High confidence with a short price is a different situation than high confidence with a long one. Full definition →
- High
Squad readiness
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · FW · Out · high impact
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · FW · Out · high impact
- Marc Casadó · MF · Out
Doubtful: Lorenzo Amatucci, Noé Carrillo, Zakaria Eddahchouri
3 key players out, 3 doubtful
Doubtful: Etta Eyong, A. Primo, Hugo Sotelo
3 doubtful
Market & price
No operator price is available right now
fair +104The odds WinPIQ's own probability implies, before the operator's margin is added. · It's the benchmark for whether a live price is worth taking. · 50% implies fair odds of 2.00. Full definition →acceptable from +146Below this price, the edge no longer covers the risk. · It marks where the price stops being worth the risk. · If the minimum price is 1.85 and the market offers 1.80, the edge is gone. Full definition →
Form
La Coruna's form has been about average once opponent strength is factored in.
Levante's form has been about average once opponent strength is factored in.
What could change the call?
- Lock expected in about 83 hours.
- Official lineups are not out yet — a material change triggers a recalculation.
Decision receipt · La Coruna v Levante
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