MQ-000125
Sunderland v Fulham · Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.33
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC43b35…30a0
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpez4y01dhr66op35wf0a8",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.33,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0n00drr6zo70hnq2c9",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.428288,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000125",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.8% · DRAW 28.4% · AWAY 28.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000125
- Fair price
- 2.33
- Market price
- 2.44
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC93f7b…6afe
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjcl00u9r60va1lf4obo",
"edge": 0.038003,
"fairOdds": 2.33,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0n00drr6zo70hnq2c9",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.44,
"modelProbability": 0.428288,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000125.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000125",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.8% · DRAW 28.4% · AWAY 28.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.44
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000125.v2
- Fair price
- 2.41
- Market price
- 2.37
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC8e64c…217f
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 94,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsdzyc000nr62vt0hawdny",
"edge": 0.011714,
"fairOdds": 2.41,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0n00drr6zo70hnq2c9",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.37,
"modelProbability": 0.414943,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000125.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000125.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.5% · DRAW 28.5% · AWAY 30.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.37
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.