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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000130

MQ-000130

Chelsea v Brighton · Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 13:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 58.5% · confidence 84
בוטל
Fair price
1.71
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCc971b…9b1a
c971b312600b41947ff2172c1c308464b7e28277fa079a9ddf9317c0d6fe9b1a
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpez6h01ezr66o3opmp6f2",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.71,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.585123,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 58.5% · NO 41.5%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000130

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC4c6cf…5419
4c6cfa9f4c615c83dd71d921ee79fbda2364a7fed743577bc8f894f4019c5419
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrcme00htl104fnmp07cc",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000130.v2

BTTS · YES · 58.4% · confidence 69 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.71
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCb1c96…a367
b1c96162724da297d686f135ad8eead4e48249988c9a5619a9ee81100767a367
{
 "confidenceScore": 69,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepc5gy00edr6xfunjtzi5i",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.71,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.583821,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 58.4% · NO 41.6%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000130.v2.v3

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC120ce…b9a9
120ce24ec3bb09d5ba2e44e7b4191f7ef50d3b741ed53faa95bdb8ab6966b9a9
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteus6h5000nkz044q804ls5",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4

BTTS · YES · 58.7% · confidence 68 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.70
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC07a86…9fd9
07a8623623d787dff193d8ce2e9a6a0a32d9f3da1fc3cf966fa5cdfd12429fd9
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbkz30013r6yd5o2vkcx5",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.586543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 58.7% · NO 41.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC6f5a6…2d30
6f5a67c43571bbbf650fd14e7d7dfe3fc10fa20fcabfedb57b9a8300d86e2d30
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvmm7000nl804oe28mlm3",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

BTTS · YES · 58.7% · confidence 68 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.70
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC7dddd…4665
7ddddc15ec81ed6371fc451966468724210421db6046a94fd76b39c221f54665
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1yjy80013r6c4wq4ka6n7",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.58654,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 58.7% · NO 41.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCeabca…df27
eabcacce77002fecfbee9706893ee0746296e36a308f81ff7642659ffa48df27
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbl7s000njz0408ka7iww",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

BTTS · YES · 58.7% · confidence 68 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.70
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC918c5…c169
918c5f87b3721e9e52f7d9ef711cdd5b802c626c87f60a966d2aa0fb335dc169
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfe9rg70013r6w0y34pmj60",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.586533,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 58.7% · NO 41.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

BTTS · YES · 57.4% · confidence 77 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.74
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTCb0a71…4ea0
b0a7162ff3bf32359e258656a1bfe74979db044b3a464187236989061a9d4ea0
{
 "confidenceScore": 77,
 "dataQualityScore": 95,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfse5rg002br62vvyyx1sf0",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.74,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0p00dxr6zojtxymkgy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.574185,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000130.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 57.4% · NO 42.6%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H0_1
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.