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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000132

MQ-000132

Leeds v Brentford · Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 13:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · UNDER · 52.6% · confidence 80
בוטל
Fair price
1.90
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCa5ab5…c510
a5ab5bb93c19107451df1c1fa139769f0a9ae9bf4c27323c7ea3ebc43e37c510
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 34,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpez8401gtr66ol2r3zw3m",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.9,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.525635,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 47.4% · UNDER 52.6%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000132

OU25 · UNDER · 52.6% · confidence 83 · reason: Market prices added
בוטל
Fair price
1.90
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.4 percentage points
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTCec70f…ffa5
ec70f524d273d4d56817857be4bc419af0ae14f62555562c9448b7990569ffa5
{
 "confidenceScore": 83,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjfz00wlr60v9n75g9f7",
 "edge": 0.033529,
 "fairOdds": 1.9,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.525634,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 47.4% · UNDER 52.6%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:56Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000132.v2

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.89
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.7 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCb8694…d770
b86944d38379f34850d9dfc453ba8e1516e18ece09ff72f25acc1cd9724cd770
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 26,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrd0w00inl104do2u5nwt",
 "edge": 0.017368,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.89,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.89
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000132.v2.v3

OU25 · UNDER · 52.7% · confidence 82 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.90
Market price
1.91
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCafeb4…92c1
afeb499b17d360abdfdb7988519681319d3e660f874116690af3de5420ce92c1
{
 "confidenceScore": 82,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepcci000g7r6xf6nk4zjl4",
 "edge": 0.02991,
 "fairOdds": 1.9,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.91,
 "modelProbability": 0.527278,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 47.3% · UNDER 52.7%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.91
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.89
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.7 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC4c37b…21be
4c37b97ffa105c3c89798ca4d99c41b2a4566b1d652bc460ee2955550edd21be
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 26,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteus6s50019kz045oad8rxm",
 "edge": 0.017368,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.89,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.89
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5

OU25 · UNDER · 52.5% · confidence 82 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.91
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.2 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC275b5…8799
275b5fd9706122c74ea923fa4edbf754c6f840bb6501b1b4e22b6157ed028799
{
 "confidenceScore": 82,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbnjh002dr6yd98c7cncu",
 "edge": 0.032426,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.524531,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 47.5% · UNDER 52.5%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.87
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.2 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCe75e6…8dfb
e75e6b193ac96f117526e4463fe150eda0410d9d2dd98a062beb79f7cfcf8dfb
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 26,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvmxu001hl804ujjlo7f0",
 "edge": 0.012105,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.87,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.87
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

OU25 · UNDER · 52.5% · confidence 82 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.91
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.2 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC510ac…037f
510ac11657cc687b0026e58ddf66a153450aa6ecc6103602a87ddccb1b63037f
{
 "confidenceScore": 82,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1ymd8002dr6c4fyv1jqki",
 "edge": 0.032413,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.524518,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 47.5% · UNDER 52.5%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.87
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.2 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC04626…e522
0462698159cdd64ec644058b60883d24304e0f021ac6f8bd01a82683f89ce522
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 26,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcblk70019jz04u4vvjbpo",
 "edge": 0.012105,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.87,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.87
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

OU25 · UNDER · 52.4% · confidence 82 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.91
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.2 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC17d90…a67f
17d90c9a5600cead92f0c9f387e97aa504af643a38f038562630c9fd96c6a67f
{
 "confidenceScore": 82,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfe9tvr002dr6w0zpys75i4",
 "edge": 0.032387,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.524492,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000132.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 47.6% · UNDER 52.4%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.