MQ-000133
Leeds v Brentford · Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC491a0…c2c8
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpez8401gtr66ol2r3zw3m",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.525769,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 52.6% · NO 47.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000133
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC5cff8…2cd8
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 26,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrd0w00inl104do2u5nwt",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000133.v2
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCbdbb7…4cca
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepcci000g7r6xf6nk4zjl4",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.525328,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 52.5% · NO 47.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000133.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC86f5f…b67f
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 26,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteus6s50019kz045oad8rxm",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCb0a91…c794
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbnjh002dr6yd98c7cncu",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.528105,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 52.8% · NO 47.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCe2462…0255
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 26,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvmxu001hl804ujjlo7f0",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC4d3e9…1a75
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1ymd8002dr6c4fyv1jqki",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.528114,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 52.8% · NO 47.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC5e96f…fd69
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 26,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcblk70019jz04u4vvjbpo",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC91732…3659
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfe9tvr002dr6w0zpys75i4",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0r00e3r6zox8q6yh4h",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.528134,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000133.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 52.8% · NO 47.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.