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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000136

MQ-000136

Paris FC v Nice · Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 13:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · NO · 53.2% · confidence 78
בוטל
Fair price
1.88
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCe2a27…1b0c
e2a27480f68503679161f71be68ee268de71f3599400884bc7dbfb4c5a381b0c
{
 "confidenceScore": 78,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpez9m01ibr66ofu2hf6hd",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.88,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.53242,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 46.8% · NO 53.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000136

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC80a89…8123
80a89d78ea227313620d8c0aa297d5eaf1de27564d51338ca1e45e0444418123
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 25,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrdps00jvl104vpoh11ib",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000136.v2

BTTS · NO · 53.2% · confidence 81 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.88
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC0a82b…277e
0a82b9d3fecdd28441d499d3cd172ac6aeb56eb1110b72cc6e4af28c6cf6277e
{
 "confidenceScore": 81,
 "dataQualityScore": 46,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepcjxp00ibr6xfma7c68qb",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.88,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.532428,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 46.8% · NO 53.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000136.v2.v3

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC27635…0a0c
276352a8d0fd4720528968e7359c03701312ec500b22a62b0ae933a4a9c90a0c
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 25,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteus759001vkz04ccsto2pm",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4

BTTS · NO · 53.3% · confidence 81 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.88
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCc7def…842b
c7defb587b7dcaad53f381d3f05172c4fba8cbf948c328c2b00848375fc2842b
{
 "confidenceScore": 81,
 "dataQualityScore": 46,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbq02003fr6ydc82pcfha",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.88,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.532839,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 46.7% · NO 53.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC19209…81d5
19209237fb726c375d6874dfd40b12ebdd54b0beef6dae8ad731d8a3d0da81d5
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 25,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvn7q0023l804cznodmw8",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

BTTS · NO · 53.2% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.88
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC9c981…375f
9c981d24a20d040ba789a503c503a987ff4e217703f473c30e324a91cf85375f
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 46,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1yonh003fr6c4kp2312s1",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.88,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.531728,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 46.8% · NO 53.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCca897…99bf
ca897d86ec5f6ea94e9a53cbc02822df3627479f61e3f0032c39b23fa49699bf
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 25,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcblwp001vjz041rylyxyw",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

BTTS · NO · 53.2% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.88
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCb6dae…3f14
b6dae9104459fff4418977c209362fb7e0018278ed6c1b968f044e5861763f14
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 46,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfe9w6a003fr6w0dxo0vvsn",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.88,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.531663,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 46.8% · NO 53.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

BTTS · NO · 50.8% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.97
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTCfa135…3805
fa135c82f80dcbe96fb70686d1279645b00c8af4e045f5cdc6fe304cfb543805
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 91,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfseckd003lr62v64p5unzx",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.97,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4i00qxr6zozol5x0x8",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.507962,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000136.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 49.2% · NO 50.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H0_1
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.