MQ-000139
Rennes v Le Mans · Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 15:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.85
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCafc8a…4a73
{
"confidenceScore": 65,
"dataQualityScore": 1,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezdi01l5r66op1vk0uw9",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.541262,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 54.1% · DRAW 26.3% · AWAY 19.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000139
- Fair price
- 1.85
- Market price
- 1.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC5e44e…8991
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 16,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjmb010jr60v4w4u97kx",
"edge": -0.122996,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.43,
"modelProbability": 0.541262,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 54.1% · DRAW 26.3% · AWAY 19.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000139.v2
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 1.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCd9155…68b6
{
"confidenceScore": 41,
"dataQualityScore": 10,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrepz00lpl104mb03fgoi",
"edge": -0.08957,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.42,
"modelProbability": 0.578788,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.9% · DRAW 15.6% · AWAY 26.5%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000139.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 1.85
- Market price
- 1.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCdba49…dee5
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 16,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbxal006rr6ydyivuiw8p",
"edge": -0.125147,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.43,
"modelProbability": 0.541262,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 54.1% · DRAW 26.3% · AWAY 19.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 1.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCc8973…4361
{
"confidenceScore": 41,
"dataQualityScore": 10,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvo1t003xl804b5m9shz8",
"edge": -0.089449,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.43,
"modelProbability": 0.57696,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.7% · DRAW 15.8% · AWAY 26.5%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 1.88
- Market price
- 1.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTCf5e50…3829
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 16,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1yvi0006rr6c4gp5r5qt3",
"edge": -0.136331,
"fairOdds": 1.88,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.42,
"modelProbability": 0.532167,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 53.2% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 1.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCf3ecd…1b07
{
"confidenceScore": 41,
"dataQualityScore": 10,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbmwb003pjz04fscbf7ry",
"edge": -0.092068,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.42,
"modelProbability": 0.57696,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.7% · DRAW 15.8% · AWAY 26.5%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 1.88
- Market price
- 1.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCbf46a…b983
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 16,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfea3lh0079r6w0if41k7lb",
"edge": -0.137124,
"fairOdds": 1.88,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.42,
"modelProbability": 0.532167,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 53.2% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:18 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:18 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:18 UTC61d40…6290
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 31,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsd78d0046r6n5ak1jqdgy",
"edge": -0.148103,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4k00r3r6zo40enq3sr",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:18:00.416Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.42,
"modelProbability": 0.521451,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000139.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:18:00.416Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.1% · DRAW 27.9% · AWAY 20.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 12:18Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 12:18Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.