MQ-000140
Man United v Ipswich · Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 15:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC8e84e…a874
{
"confidenceScore": 78,
"dataQualityScore": 32,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezeu01lrr66o410tnz7c",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.572316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 17.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000140
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.41
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC96d88…b692
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 47,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjnv0115r60vv9m1074v",
"edge": -0.104294,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.41,
"modelProbability": 0.572316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 17.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.41
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000140.v2
- Fair price
- 1.45
- Market price
- 1.40
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC752ce…2b44
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 25,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrez600m3l104n6hl1x1d",
"edge": 0.011874,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.691546,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 69.2% · DRAW 12.6% · AWAY 18.2%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.40
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.40
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC1e52c…cbf7
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 47,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepexcu00lnr6xfpm2ew10l",
"edge": -0.108353,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.572316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 17.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.40
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.45
- Market price
- 1.40
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC2c97d…99bc
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 25,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteus88c003vkz04udas9lrc",
"edge": 0.009747,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.690177,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 69.0% · DRAW 12.7% · AWAY 18.3%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.40
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.41
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC60938…130d
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 47,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbz0p007dr6ydcvenfqfm",
"edge": -0.106782,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.41,
"modelProbability": 0.572316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 17.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.41
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.45
- Market price
- 1.41
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC663ac…b860
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 25,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvo9k004bl80419b04zde",
"edge": 0.010842,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.41,
"modelProbability": 0.690177,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 69.0% · DRAW 12.7% · AWAY 18.3%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.41
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.41
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC4b274…9e3c
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 47,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1yx44007dr6c4uhfc3cc5",
"edge": -0.107019,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.41,
"modelProbability": 0.572316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 17.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.41
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 1.45
- Market price
- 1.39
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCf4a23…b3f5
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 25,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbn5j0043jz041enfyg0s",
"edge": 0.003442,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.39,
"modelProbability": 0.690177,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 69.0% · DRAW 12.7% · AWAY 18.3%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.39
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 10 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.40
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC2f7cc…d7a1
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 47,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfea57e007vr6w05g2kd19u",
"edge": -0.112538,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.572316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 17.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.40
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 11 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10
- Fair price
- 1.83
- Market price
- 1.38
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTCb14ea…bc2a
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 62,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfmxdci002nr6tkyghor5ax",
"edge": -0.144958,
"fairOdds": 1.83,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.38,
"modelProbability": 0.546453,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.2",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 54.6% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 19.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.2
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 09:56Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 09:56Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.38
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 12 · previous MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11
- Fair price
- 1.71
- Market price
- 1.37
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTCb1cab…d0ac
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 62,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfseqbm005pr62vroomv6id",
"edge": -0.113891,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0t00e9r6zobvzlu053",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.37,
"modelProbability": 0.583219,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000140.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 58.3% · DRAW 25.1% · AWAY 16.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.37
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.