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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000143

MQ-000143

Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug · 15:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 43.0% · confidence 63
בוטל
Fair price
2.32
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC38ea6…4215
38ea6afb231d99ba88d8dee451cfdc5717fa924ad608a9e92d44a0c9535d4215
{
 "confidenceScore": 63,
 "dataQualityScore": 0,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezgb01nfr66of3oh08tz",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.430252,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 43.0% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 28.9%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000143

1X2 · HOME · 43.0% · confidence 66 · reason: Market prices added
בוטל
Fair price
2.32
Market price
2.15
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.1 percentage points
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTCf863f…a076
f863fca6c12acd9de02ed4de64f98cfa65004bbfa4cec5fa3b6c4806109da076
{
 "confidenceScore": 66,
 "dataQualityScore": 15,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjph012br60v1jbz2qjs",
 "edge": -0.010593,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.15,
 "modelProbability": 0.430252,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 43.0% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 28.9%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:56Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.15
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000143.v2

1X2 · HOME · 40.2% · confidence 40 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.49
Market price
2.17
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.5 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC5ce14…30a9
5ce14128a704202b8ece551091b8f308267e3de3666af669a7f388384bfb30a9
{
 "confidenceScore": 40,
 "dataQualityScore": 10,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrfdh00mxl1049nfahmc7",
 "edge": -0.035071,
 "fairOdds": 2.49,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.17,
 "modelProbability": 0.402344,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 40.2% · DRAW 23.7% · AWAY 36.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.17
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3

1X2 · HOME · 42.8% · confidence 64 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.33
Market price
2.17
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.9 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCd709f…a631
d709faeec17539e18c71e5cc408bba8dbe16865061c1b927b2e6d8eb2ec8a631
{
 "confidenceScore": 64,
 "dataQualityScore": 15,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepf0qo00nbr6xfb0j92jdm",
 "edge": -0.009127,
 "fairOdds": 2.33,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.17,
 "modelProbability": 0.428288,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 42.8% · DRAW 28.4% · AWAY 28.8%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.17
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4

1X2 · HOME · 40.5% · confidence 40 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.47
Market price
2.17
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCa7ae1…ea54
a7ae165302a88e04588ff7ac0f534eb9b8cf530242c97f582472dff22d2eea54
{
 "confidenceScore": 40,
 "dataQualityScore": 10,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteus8ks004pkz04xxbgy1gp",
 "edge": -0.032785,
 "fairOdds": 2.47,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.17,
 "modelProbability": 0.40463,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 40.5% · DRAW 23.7% · AWAY 35.8%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.17
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5

1X2 · HOME · 45.3% · confidence 67 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.21
Market price
2.19
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC664c0…2565
664c09c87838d26ee57b6cb2700c9ba102474f927276624bfbc9514174752565
{
 "confidenceScore": 67,
 "dataQualityScore": 15,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewc2260091r6ydprd7ccjr",
 "edge": 0.019598,
 "fairOdds": 2.21,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.453188,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 45.3% · DRAW 27.6% · AWAY 27.1%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.19
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

1X2 · HOME · 40.5% · confidence 40 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.47
Market price
2.19
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.9 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC5f010…1eeb
5f01054ffbd4a4d793da778eb2f65dd8ee21cb3e07d35fed1e9288eee58d1eeb
{
 "confidenceScore": 40,
 "dataQualityScore": 10,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvokk0055l804ibmq5txm",
 "edge": -0.028959,
 "fairOdds": 2.47,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.40463,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 40.5% · DRAW 23.7% · AWAY 35.8%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.19
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

1X2 · HOME · 45.3% · confidence 67 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.21
Market price
2.19
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC4b28a…71f8
4b28a7d54a939e5143de512c9d2cbef3cabe7d6ea820c401c49f6d16fb3671f8
{
 "confidenceScore": 67,
 "dataQualityScore": 15,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1yzz60091r6c4p8xqyhno",
 "edge": 0.019598,
 "fairOdds": 2.21,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.453188,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 45.3% · DRAW 27.6% · AWAY 27.1%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.19
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

1X2 · HOME · 40.5% · confidence 40 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.47
Market price
2.19
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.9 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC2e550…b779
2e5507a97c316f0d2c3b10fbdd180994d2bc88c06d4e144fa758b77c1ab7b779
{
 "confidenceScore": 40,
 "dataQualityScore": 10,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbnjo004xjz04b8p4ryy8",
 "edge": -0.028643,
 "fairOdds": 2.47,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.40463,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 40.5% · DRAW 23.7% · AWAY 35.8%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.19
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

1X2 · HOME · 45.3% · confidence 67 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.21
Market price
2.21
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.3 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC48332…cb2a
483324e6c49c7c11fd167ef41cc889a32ac27aafe011b20184c6911d2223cb2a
{
 "confidenceScore": 67,
 "dataQualityScore": 15,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfea83r009jr6w092dt1qxi",
 "edge": 0.022782,
 "fairOdds": 2.21,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.21,
 "modelProbability": 0.453188,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 45.3% · DRAW 27.6% · AWAY 27.1%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.21
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 11 · previous MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10

1X2 · HOME · 46.4% · confidence 71 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
2.16
Market price
2.21
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.3 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTCe66bc…0c53
e66bcadd2e101035dbf30ca1cfdadf555c89883cf219ea7154fc044073ac0c53
{
 "confidenceScore": 71,
 "dataQualityScore": 30,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsetl8006dr62vfmp8jafl",
 "edge": 0.032972,
 "fairOdds": 2.16,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3q00o3r6zoo8qlqap2",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.21,
 "modelProbability": 0.464025,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000143.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 46.4% · DRAW 26.1% · AWAY 27.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.21
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.