MQ-000158
Lazio v Genoa · Serie A · Sun 30 Aug · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.16
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC2ad63…e15a
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezpc01vjr66oq6t4gf7e",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.16,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.46371,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 46.4% · DRAW 30.8% · AWAY 22.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000158
- Fair price
- 2.16
- Market price
- 1.98
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC972e2…050d
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjyq014tr60vo8mtldmq",
"edge": -0.016654,
"fairOdds": 2.16,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.98,
"modelProbability": 0.46371,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 46.4% · DRAW 30.8% · AWAY 22.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.98
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000158.v2
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- 2.06
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC00361…b543
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelri2e00shl104wsekb7oz",
"edge": 0.089547,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.551139,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 55.1% · DRAW 19.1% · AWAY 25.8%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.06
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 2.16
- Market price
- 2.06
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCe2034…3bbd
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfjt400x1r6xfhn99tv3x",
"edge": 0.002118,
"fairOdds": 2.16,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.46371,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 46.4% · DRAW 30.8% · AWAY 22.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.06
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.82
- Market price
- 2.06
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC8c7ae…2014
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteusayl00a9kz04on2agxnp",
"edge": 0.089611,
"fairOdds": 1.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.550689,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 55.1% · DRAW 19.1% · AWAY 25.8%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.06
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 2.23
- Market price
- 2.07
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCd7701…d80e
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewcmuy00itr6ydn7fni0ka",
"edge": -0.011585,
"fairOdds": 2.23,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.07,
"modelProbability": 0.448084,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.8% · DRAW 33.1% · AWAY 22.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.07
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- 2.07
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC41f58…9c27
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvqph00apl804sxok2xl6",
"edge": 0.091758,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.07,
"modelProbability": 0.551427,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 55.1% · DRAW 19.0% · AWAY 25.8%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.07
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 2.16
- Market price
- 2.07
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC4fb0f…9629
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1ziv400itr6c45v5qnyjr",
"edge": 0.003785,
"fairOdds": 2.16,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.07,
"modelProbability": 0.46371,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 46.4% · DRAW 30.8% · AWAY 22.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.07
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- 2.11
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCf5b74…37ee
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbq2e00a9jz04ym1q8tkg",
"edge": 0.100236,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.11,
"modelProbability": 0.551427,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 55.1% · DRAW 19.0% · AWAY 25.8%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.11
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 10 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9
- Fair price
- 2.16
- Market price
- 2.20
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCaa6c2…9d9b
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeaqi300itr6w0m2ocw9ue",
"edge": 0.031237,
"fairOdds": 2.16,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.2,
"modelProbability": 0.46371,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 46.4% · DRAW 30.8% · AWAY 22.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.20
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 11 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10
- Fair price
- 2.02
- Market price
- 2.23
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC6141f…1aea
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfmxzks005hr6tknt7l19mq",
"edge": 0.066858,
"fairOdds": 2.02,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.23,
"modelProbability": 0.494283,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.2",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 49.4% · DRAW 29.8% · AWAY 20.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.2
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 09:56Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 09:56Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.23
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 12 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.30
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC1f571…0efd
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsfie100azr62v8t76qydu",
"edge": 0.009671,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.3,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.30
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 13 · previous MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.32
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTC20c91…09e4
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg0mohm007br62ef0v04d2o",
"edge": 0.029552,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T16:14:12.028Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.32,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12.v13",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000158.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T16:14:12.028Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 29.1% · AWAY 26.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 16:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 16:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.32
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.