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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000159

MQ-000159

Lazio v Genoa · Serie A · Sun 30 Aug · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · UNDER · 63.0% · confidence 83
בוטל
Fair price
1.59
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCebf2b…cc76
ebf2be1e1c695fb6e586b56c267a8d3c595c97fb6058f1d30a22c2b73e21cc76
{
 "confidenceScore": 83,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezpc01vjr66oq6t4gf7e",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.630145,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 37.0% · UNDER 63.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000159

OU25 · UNDER · 63.0% · confidence 86 · reason: Market prices added
בוטל
Fair price
1.59
Market price
1.58
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.6 percentage points
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC644ae…fe6d
644aeabd759eecddce73ffc4cc3bd2d88e4b1177d29cfc659fbb5eebf317fe6d
{
 "confidenceScore": 86,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjyq014tr60vo8mtldmq",
 "edge": 0.036313,
 "fairOdds": 1.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.630143,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 37.0% · UNDER 63.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:56Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.58
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000159.v2

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.36
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
12.2 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCdb4d2…ee03
db4d28a231a78ba30f628017ace90793eb7df4288df54e86ac1f038746f6ee03
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelri2e00shl104wsekb7oz",
 "edge": 0.122041,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.36,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.36
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3

OU25 · UNDER · 62.9% · confidence 87 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.59
Market price
1.56
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.6 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCbb07b…abd2
bb07b3414536e7dc76750af1bf70faeeb745c639cac3199f467642af5786abd2
{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfjt400x1r6xfhn99tv3x",
 "edge": 0.026084,
 "fairOdds": 1.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.56,
 "modelProbability": 0.629137,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 37.1% · UNDER 62.9%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.56
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.37
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
12.3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCc8398…0009
c83984a827e9b7e7e2b7555b43b0e135cd885bd965482d71bb6c100094d70009
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteusayl00a9kz04on2agxnp",
 "edge": 0.123053,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.37,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.37
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5

OU25 · UNDER · 63.3% · confidence 87 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.58
Market price
1.56
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC95ced…1bde
95ced08710de40eec907834c8fd827010b219835479fac2a4b980efb2d091bde
{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewcmuy00itr6ydn7fni0ka",
 "edge": 0.029513,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.56,
 "modelProbability": 0.632566,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 36.7% · UNDER 63.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.56
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.37
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
12.3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCc6b15…9727
c6b15cd17bfdad1d031d0d6baabf0274401e941e94ada670676ec8b69d2a9727
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvqph00apl804sxok2xl6",
 "edge": 0.123053,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.37,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.37
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

OU25 · UNDER · 63.2% · confidence 86 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.58
Market price
1.56
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.9 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC2f846…891e
2f84680077879de7627daf2ed3ac6da9389dcead05e52aeb0604fedb2cb2891e
{
 "confidenceScore": 86,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1ziv400itr6c45v5qnyjr",
 "edge": 0.028699,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.56,
 "modelProbability": 0.631752,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 36.8% · UNDER 63.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.56
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.41
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
13 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCad64a…9b6c
ad64add8ff2a480c4ae6dc8934dbb8bf91999a3f26fae72a4214a3f87dab9b6c
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbq2e00a9jz04ym1q8tkg",
 "edge": 0.130127,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.41,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.41
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

OU25 · UNDER · 63.2% · confidence 86 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.58
Market price
1.53
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.7 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC16b3f…e321
16b3f7ea4d587d2f8b63e7492b62d6055b46121b845c2eb3b851d36f9413e321
{
 "confidenceScore": 86,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeaqi300itr6w0m2ocw9ue",
 "edge": 0.017106,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.53,
 "modelProbability": 0.631716,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 36.8% · UNDER 63.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.53
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 11 · previous MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10

OU25 · UNDER · 60.2% · confidence 93 · reason: Official lineup
פגיעה
Fair price
1.66
Market price
1.51
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTCef11c…510e
ef11c5a5dcd34f403c2440a626e48e6ae51916e7b5104f91f9cd8508c28e510e
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtg0mohm007br62ef0v04d2o",
 "edge": -0.020351,
 "fairOdds": 1.66,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3400lxr6zo4ja0k2aq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T16:14:12.028Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.51,
 "modelProbability": 0.602149,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000159.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T16:14:12.028Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 39.8% · UNDER 60.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 16:14Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 16:14Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.51
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.

Prediction proof MQ-000159 — Lazio v Genoa · WinPIQ