MQ-000164
Monaco v Marseille · Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC302b4…83d7
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezsd01z1r66obmqdb490",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.417727,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.8% · DRAW 26.6% · AWAY 31.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000164
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- 2.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC52eee…d69f
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwk2i0179r60v16cxpwoe",
"edge": 0.02571,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.42,
"modelProbability": 0.417727,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.8% · DRAW 26.6% · AWAY 31.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000164.v2
- Fair price
- 2.20
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC8df5b…1176
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrivt00u5l10437uky3yr",
"edge": 0.063554,
"fairOdds": 2.2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.45425,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 45.4% · DRAW 20.3% · AWAY 34.3%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCc37f5…049e
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfpsa010jr6xfyiwlby28",
"edge": 0.02703,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.417727,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.8% · DRAW 26.6% · AWAY 31.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 2.20
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCf8b2e…ca6a
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteusbnm00bxkz04uunq5nva",
"edge": 0.064384,
"fairOdds": 2.2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.45508,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 45.5% · DRAW 20.2% · AWAY 34.3%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC47b5b…8d90
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewctlw00mbr6yd3egl6mkr",
"edge": 0.02703,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.417727,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.8% · DRAW 26.6% · AWAY 31.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 2.21
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC52c05…d540
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvrc100cdl804mqjkwdx3",
"edge": 0.061558,
"fairOdds": 2.21,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.452255,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 45.2% · DRAW 20.4% · AWAY 34.3%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTCfced4…03bd
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1zoqz00mbr6c40xvmgtzf",
"edge": 0.02703,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.417727,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.8% · DRAW 26.6% · AWAY 31.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 2.21
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC8833b…e1e9
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbqtn00bxjz04jabubdeo",
"edge": 0.061136,
"fairOdds": 2.21,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.452255,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 45.2% · DRAW 20.4% · AWAY 34.3%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 10 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- 2.44
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC7566a…9e7d
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeawgi00mbr6w0cmlspeue",
"edge": 0.026895,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.44,
"modelProbability": 0.417727,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.8% · DRAW 26.6% · AWAY 31.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.44
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 11 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10
- Fair price
- 2.40
- Market price
- 2.25
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC870b6…1b86
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfmy2nq0067r6tkzf0txa02",
"edge": -0.007386,
"fairOdds": 2.4,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.25,
"modelProbability": 0.416911,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.2",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.7% · DRAW 26.2% · AWAY 32.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.2
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 09:56Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 09:56Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.25
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 12 · previous MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11
- Fair price
- 2.20
- Market price
- 2.23
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC9436f…cad2
{
"confidenceScore": 96,
"dataQualityScore": 95,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg4pvff000dr63anmn7kfrg",
"edge": 0.025575,
"fairOdds": 2.2,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.23,
"modelProbability": 0.453568,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000164.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 45.4% · DRAW 25.3% · AWAY 29.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.23
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.