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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000165

MQ-000165

Monaco v Marseille · Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · OVER · 64.0% · confidence 81
בוטל
Fair price
1.56
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC6c8de…2f8a
6c8de45d55c06b3f5781806a09d6849f2afba19839e6903a771aebb004252f8a
{
 "confidenceScore": 81,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezsd01z1r66obmqdb490",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.6402,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 64.0% · UNDER 36.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000165

OU25 · OVER · 64.0% · confidence 84 · reason: Market prices added
בוטל
Fair price
1.56
Market price
1.55
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.4 percentage points
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC915c4…dc8f
915c4aacc4af649ea16c763d28238910e03cf4610fbc975cda11c0988330dc8f
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwk2i0179r60v16cxpwoe",
 "edge": 0.033599,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.640198,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 64.0% · UNDER 36.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:56Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.55
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000165.v2

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.55
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
8.6 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC80702…c67b
807025bcf4daba4449a5f78d2ea0f4e0a93970a6d43718a7f92c7eb81f6dc67b
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrivt00u5l10437uky3yr",
 "edge": -0.085598,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.55
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3

OU25 · OVER · 63.9% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.57
Market price
1.55
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC4dece…ea7c
4deceef5dd36fc33d33be1577e9a85517f8f38dde7a96e7ca8b7dc217b9eea7c
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfpsa010jr6xfyiwlby28",
 "edge": 0.033223,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.638821,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 63.9% · UNDER 36.1%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.55
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.55
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
8.6 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC383f2…b7aa
383f2611e454ed8f0fc2ef085d779b7bff5858f628f55c62b23c3643830ab7aa
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteusbnm00bxkz04uunq5nva",
 "edge": -0.085598,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.55
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5

OU25 · OVER · 63.8% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.57
Market price
1.55
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCd5f56…a120
d5f56bc13939f4f7dfc89fb22d744db352ef660c65263165d5a1aeb630e5a120
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewctlw00mbr6yd3egl6mkr",
 "edge": 0.032884,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.638482,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 63.8% · UNDER 36.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.55
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.55
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
8.6 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC699a2…90b6
699a298aa2091bcc3b1a261e76698d9f5639f7eb58ba26247bfa130ffc2590b6
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvrc100cdl804mqjkwdx3",
 "edge": -0.085598,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.55
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

OU25 · OVER · 63.8% · confidence 68 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.57
Market price
1.55
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.2 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTCe8ad5…146d
e8ad5095acb9ae1b8a39b4f61e2cca6f0240b75366f5cda6d3cdbf719715146d
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1zoqz00mbr6c40xvmgtzf",
 "edge": 0.032033,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.637631,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 63.8% · UNDER 36.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.55
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
1.59
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
7.4 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC52098…18c4
5209899cca53ca367970a028fb218a8c6c217ce456f69796224fee1009c918c4
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbqtn00bxjz04jabubdeo",
 "edge": -0.074388,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.59,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.59
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

OU25 · OVER · 63.8% · confidence 68 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.57
Market price
1.60
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
4.7 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCd29d5…977d
d29d58a7872242e7ec8533e0ddebd63924402d78f362c926d0d6371f2003977d
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeawgi00mbr6w0cmlspeue",
 "edge": 0.046793,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.6,
 "modelProbability": 0.637586,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 63.8% · UNDER 36.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.60
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 11 · previous MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10

OU25 · OVER · 61.0% · confidence 90 · reason: Official lineup
החטאה
Fair price
1.64
Market price
1.61
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.1 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 16:14 UTCc1de0…728b
c1de0d8b33d6c444f21858ea762ad1494a71a260fe4e5a4b7fc0bf3e72c8728b
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtg0nfjx00a5r62esj477yll",
 "edge": 0.021386,
 "fairOdds": 1.64,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek4l00r9r6zoydpmnnmp",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T16:14:12.028Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.61,
 "modelProbability": 0.609621,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000165.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T16:14:12.028Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 61.0% · UNDER 39.0%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 16:14Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 16:14Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.61
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.

Prediction proof MQ-000165 — Monaco v Marseille · WinPIQ