MQ-000174
Celta v Ath Bilbao · La Liga · Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 30 Aug · 19:26 UTC
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCb128b…16d6
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezwh0241r66onqzfl55j",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2400ifr6zo6osm3avm",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.525273,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000174",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 30 Aug · 19:26 UTC1647a…b0f1
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezwh0241r66onqzfl55j",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2400ifr6zo6osm3avm",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.525273,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000174",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T19:26:51.969Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.5% · UNDER 47.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000174
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- 2.07
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 30 Aug · 19:26 UTC
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC053af…8018
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwk71018vr60vcefv8646",
"edge": 0.06858,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2400ifr6zo6osm3avm",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.07,
"modelProbability": 0.525273,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000174.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000174",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 30 Aug · 19:26 UTCf116b…c1c1
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwk71018vr60vcefv8646",
"edge": 0.06858,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2400ifr6zo6osm3avm",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.07,
"modelProbability": 0.525273,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000174.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000174",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T19:26:51.969Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.5% · UNDER 47.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.07
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000174.v2
- Fair price
- 1.99
- Market price
- 2.13
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 17:13 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 17:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 30 Aug · 19:26 UTC
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 17:13 UTC1b11b…0f55
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg2p3gg003or60kn6mvwrpg",
"edge": 0.05783,
"fairOdds": 1.99,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2400ifr6zo6osm3avm",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T17:13:22.616Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.13,
"modelProbability": 0.501694,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000174.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000174.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T17:13:22.616Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 30 Aug · 19:26 UTC18a99…d9c8
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg2p3gg003or60kn6mvwrpg",
"edge": 0.05783,
"fairOdds": 1.99,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2400ifr6zo6osm3avm",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T17:13:22.616Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.13,
"modelProbability": 0.501694,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000174.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000174.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T19:26:51.969Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 50.2% · UNDER 49.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 17:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 17:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.13
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.