MQ-000177
Lecce v Roma · Serie A · Mon 31 Aug · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC97c8c…b944
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezxz025jr66ot0pvm8rn",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.56594,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.4% · UNDER 56.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000177
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.73
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTCee01b…eea7
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwk8s019xr60vigxa0yxg",
"edge": 0.020008,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.73,
"modelProbability": 0.56594,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.4% · UNDER 56.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.73
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000177.v2
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCcffdb…e7d6
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrk8o00wtl104s0lexwsa",
"edge": 0.047704,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 1.76
- Market price
- 1.79
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCe7c10…f4b8
{
"confidenceScore": 85,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfzgv015nr6xfq2lndbf1",
"edge": 0.03949,
"fairOdds": 1.76,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.567194,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.3% · UNDER 56.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.79
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCf8784…4690
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteuscu900elkz04466b3r9t",
"edge": 0.047704,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 1.76
- Market price
- 1.79
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCf27bb…ab38
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewd3s200rfr6ydtvijw708",
"edge": 0.039742,
"fairOdds": 1.76,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.567446,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.3% · UNDER 56.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.79
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCcd3db…6455
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvse600f1l804m6he0anv",
"edge": 0.047704,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 1.76
- Market price
- 1.79
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTCd7d77…48a4
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1zyf400rfr6c49limpxyw",
"edge": 0.040918,
"fairOdds": 1.76,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.568622,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.1% · UNDER 56.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.79
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC1dd44…48c3
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbs3g00eljz04lj9m2cls",
"edge": 0.047704,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 10 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9
- Fair price
- 1.76
- Market price
- 1.79
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCc4111…52f8
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeb64900rfr6w0lnsvx61f",
"edge": 0.040916,
"fairOdds": 1.76,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.56862,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.1% · UNDER 56.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.79
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 11 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10
- Fair price
- 1.82
- Market price
- 1.79
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTCe6134…8e5b
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsfyo600ezr62vo902yuio",
"edge": 0.021298,
"fairOdds": 1.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.549002,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 45.1% · UNDER 54.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.79
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 12 · previous MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.79
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC60fd5…65ff
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg4q4wp001jr63akupsl66n",
"edge": 0.002297,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.530001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000177.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 47.0% · UNDER 53.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.79
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.