MQ-000178
Lecce v Roma · Serie A · Mon 31 Aug · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.79
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC71bfc…9aca
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezxz025jr66ot0pvm8rn",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.557453,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "NO"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 44.3% · NO 55.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000178
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCf08f0…4b62
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrk8o00wtl104s0lexwsa",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000178.v2
- Fair price
- 1.80
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCef8c9…7e66
{
"confidenceScore": 85,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfzgv015nr6xfq2lndbf1",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.556267,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "NO"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 44.4% · NO 55.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCa245b…8df1
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteuscu900elkz04466b3r9t",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.79
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC5d996…5b59
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewd3s200rfr6ydtvijw708",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.559248,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "NO"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 44.1% · NO 55.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCb1a0f…4078
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvse600f1l804m6he0anv",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.79
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC561c0…0797
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1zyf400rfr6c49limpxyw",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.558338,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "NO"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 44.2% · NO 55.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC10304…861e
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbs3g00eljz04lj9m2cls",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 1.79
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC8facc…a8ea
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeb64900rfr6w0lnsvx61f",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.558284,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "NO"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 44.2% · NO 55.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 10 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9
- Fair price
- 1.85
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC53d5e…7129
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsfyo600ezr62vo902yuio",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.541592,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
"selection": "NO"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 45.8% · NO 54.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 12:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 11 · previous MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10
- Fair price
- 1.91
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTCbd196…dbf8
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg4q4wp001jr63akupsl66n",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.91,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3700m9r6zobu04boie",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.52295,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000178.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"selection": "NO"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 47.7% · NO 52.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.