WinPIQKnow Before You Pick.
Sign in
🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000182

MQ-000182

Atalanta v Bologna · Serie A · Mon 31 Aug · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 51.5% · confidence 83
בוטל
Fair price
1.94
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC7ede6…8802
7ede639b38f84a59f068fd67a09cce95bebc2063878d9a1c21ea81eccb0c8802
{
 "confidenceScore": 83,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpf0130291r66o5ir8l5d9",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.515395,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.5% · DRAW 28.3% · AWAY 20.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000182

1X2 · HOME · 51.5% · confidence 86 · reason: Market prices added
בוטל
Fair price
1.94
Market price
1.89
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.3 percentage points
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTCda0e2…6bfb
da0e2680b9bc8af3014d6d0005e04d4f1d6f4cf24149ec153e85acf948e16bfb
{
 "confidenceScore": 86,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwkcg01cdr60va68c25se",
 "edge": 0.012646,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.89,
 "modelProbability": 0.515395,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.5% · DRAW 28.3% · AWAY 20.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:56Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.89
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000182.v2

1X2 · HOME · 52.8% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.89
Market price
1.90
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.8 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCc1fa6…d08b
c1fa6f44b7674af4217e70a514180f42327b1621d548764b599f2070ec63d08b
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteusdv100h3kz045fbnk2mi",
 "edge": 0.027833,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.527947,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 52.8% · DRAW 20.1% · AWAY 27.2%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.90
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000182.v2.v3

1X2 · HOME · 51.5% · confidence 86 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.94
Market price
1.90
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.5 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCbaff8…f14e
baff8abc564bc9e458121ddaf513b0f6ab07a72a485eb9842cabea18809cf14e
{
 "confidenceScore": 86,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewddcf00wlr6yd74wo14a8",
 "edge": 0.014991,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.515395,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.5% · DRAW 28.3% · AWAY 20.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.90
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4

1X2 · HOME · 52.9% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.89
Market price
1.90
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.8 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC46d8d…8a9e
46d8dbd5e574d1bd377a1216d6f016bda39382a6e03c66e24d36e6e23e588a9e
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvtaq00hjl804dgr7oqcl",
 "edge": 0.02829,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.528695,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 52.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 27.1%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.90
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5

1X2 · HOME · 51.5% · confidence 86 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.94
Market price
1.90
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.4 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC5ed75…7f43
5ed752830efed8f5470b9218fc97d896b6dc6af73512156c84eb28423fc07f43
{
 "confidenceScore": 86,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf2076b00wlr6c4s3xkimuj",
 "edge": 0.014413,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.515395,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.5% · DRAW 28.3% · AWAY 20.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.90
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

1X2 · HOME · 52.9% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.89
Market price
1.90
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.8 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCd738a…ca58
d738a01ef21abb02e59ea8d4517458b07776839cfe3f9a3550e16fc26d8fca58
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbt8f00h3jz0498iqpb7x",
 "edge": 0.027712,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.528695,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 52.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 27.1%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.90
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

1X2 · HOME · 51.5% · confidence 86 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.94
Market price
1.89
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.3 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCfde1a…3c59
fde1aa1db6c589549e6c540011851f3c3ed23cb943dfeb07667e79ddf17d3c59
{
 "confidenceScore": 86,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfebg6q00wlr6w0t4y2knqo",
 "edge": 0.012806,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.89,
 "modelProbability": 0.515395,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.5% · DRAW 28.3% · AWAY 20.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.89
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

1X2 · HOME · 47.6% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
2.10
Market price
1.90
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.4 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC87f69…a4ac
87f69b8d03dd2b354873c44cb97e8fb8c474286a85253295efc452aa5aa8a4ac
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsgav700j5r62vqyidf205",
 "edge": -0.024457,
 "fairOdds": 2.1,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3900mfr6zofm3erbdh",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.476316,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000182.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 47.6% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 24.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.90
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.