MQ-000187
Aston Villa v Arsenal · Premier League · Mon 31 Aug · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.87
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCec763…223e
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpf02m02apr66ojx2j64ud",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0v00efr6zo01ro0if3",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.533507,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000187",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 53.4% · NO 46.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000187
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC8c45c…cee3
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteuse7s00hxkz04zf61g8v6",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0v00efr6zo01ro0if3",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000187.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000187",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000187.v2
- Fair price
- 1.88
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCc5cc0…9657
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewdgth00y9r6ydz19jj5wl",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.88,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0v00efr6zo01ro0if3",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.532745,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000187.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 53.3% · NO 46.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000187.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCa90f5…7a93
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvtm000idl80485rrq05e",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0v00efr6zo01ro0if3",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.88
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC5ec06…68d1
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf20a1q00y9r6c482c3khyc",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.88,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0v00efr6zo01ro0if3",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.532767,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 53.3% · NO 46.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCd8198…859f
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbtmb00hxjz04htc1px59",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0v00efr6zo01ro0if3",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.88
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC916f7…88b3
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfebj1m00y9r6w0kzrkxp8d",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.88,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek0v00efr6zo01ro0if3",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.532814,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000187.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 53.3% · NO 46.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.