MQ-000209
Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Tel Aviv · Israeli Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.65
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC35aaf…3b7d
{
"confidenceScore": 58,
"dataQualityScore": 24,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtdtijlq00d1r6oyg4omfjpb",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T03:25:30.514Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.605189,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T03:25:30.514Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.5% · UNDER 60.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 03:25Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000209
- Fair price
- 1.65
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 15.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTCfa419…e2df
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtdtjjo000c7r6040gytun4h",
"edge": 0.15112,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T03:26:16.611Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.605188,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T03:26:16.611Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.5% · UNDER 60.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 03:26Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000209.v2
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.73
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCd766a…981b
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrgqv00ptl1044fzosir5",
"edge": -0.025932,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.73,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.73
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000209.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 1.65
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 15.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCe0869…96a4
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepfadh00s5r6xf4c7ymelb",
"edge": 0.15089,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.604958,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.5% · UNDER 60.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.73
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC3c8b5…200f
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteus9sp007lkz04ueflmrtk",
"edge": -0.025932,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.73,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.73
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 1.65
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 15.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC2515a…cd80
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewccay00dvr6yd8wmp5s7c",
"edge": 0.150839,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.604907,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.5% · UNDER 60.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.73
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC7599b…ac43
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvpoa0081l804l7024yk4",
"edge": -0.025932,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.73,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.73
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 1.65
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 15.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC097b3…466f
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1z9i000dvr6c4u9vsvjhm",
"edge": 0.150799,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.604867,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.5% · UNDER 60.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.73
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC7574d…fcd0
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcboum007tjz04kdr5j7ab",
"edge": -0.025932,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.73,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.73
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 10 · previous MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9
- Fair price
- 1.66
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCeb0e9…bcaa
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeahm000edr6w0afdqjgsv",
"edge": 0.149041,
"fairOdds": 1.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2w0045r66zhk31onfk",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.603109,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000209.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.7% · UNDER 60.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.