MQ-000212
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Maccabi Haifa · Israeli Premier League · Mon 31 Aug · 17:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.39
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 03:25 UTCcfa59…e1a8
{
"confidenceScore": 78,
"dataQualityScore": 28,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtdtijv700gjr6oyirrirjvj",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T03:25:30.514Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.721186,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T03:25:30.514Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 72.1% · UNDER 27.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 03:25Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000212
- Fair price
- 1.39
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 03:26 UTC3e4a3…26af
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtdtjk4a00f7r604e3zkxovn",
"edge": 0.110499,
"fairOdds": 1.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T03:26:16.611Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.721186,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000212",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T03:26:16.611Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 72.1% · UNDER 27.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 03:26Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000212.v2
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC486b2…5be6
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 23,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteusd5v00ffkz0408gcw6jc",
"edge": -0.090687,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000212.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000212.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 1.39
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCf1e8c…3fbe
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewd6z600t9r6ydy145wkc7",
"edge": 0.110258,
"fairOdds": 1.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.720945,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 72.1% · UNDER 27.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC64eea…638b
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 23,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvsod00fvl804irkb8zqz",
"edge": -0.090687,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 1.39
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC6cb1e…1e4d
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf201e500t9r6c4a2bu9e53",
"edge": 0.110223,
"fairOdds": 1.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.72091,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 72.1% · UNDER 27.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC41bc5…f846
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 23,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbsfz00ffjz04w8kp9187",
"edge": -0.090687,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.52,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 1.39
- Market price
- 1.48
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC849f6…d510
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfeba1o00t9r6w02ljxqu81",
"edge": 0.082827,
"fairOdds": 1.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr2y004br66zwpbmrvch",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.48,
"modelProbability": 0.720082,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000212.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 72.0% · UNDER 28.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.48
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.