MQ-000214
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Hapoel Haifa · Israeli Premier League · Wed 2 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.61
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTC
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC2df29…7958
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg4qjwu006nr63adiizra8j",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.61,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.621309,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000214",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTC036b1…5082
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg4qjwu006nr63adiizra8j",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.61,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.621309,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000214",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T16:36:24.072Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 62.1% · DRAW 22.5% · AWAY 15.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000214
- Fair price
- 1.61
- Market price
- 1.38
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 2 Sept · 00:10 UTC
- Published
- Wed 2 Sept · 00:10 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTC
Publication recordWed 2 Sept · 00:10 UTC07245…d5ce
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 54,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtjcb6z90001r6wc7phcv4rl",
"edge": -0.024391,
"fairOdds": 1.61,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T00:10:28.542Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.38,
"modelProbability": 0.621309,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000214.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000214",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T00:10:28.542Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTC66d8d…43c5
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 54,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtjcb6z90001r6wc7phcv4rl",
"edge": -0.024391,
"fairOdds": 1.61,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T00:10:28.542Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.38,
"modelProbability": 0.621309,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000214.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000214",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T16:36:24.072Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 62.1% · DRAW 22.5% · AWAY 15.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-02 00:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-02 00:10Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.38
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.