MQ-000216
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Hapoel Haifa · Israeli Premier League · Wed 2 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.79
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTC
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 18:14 UTC66850…a115
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg4qjwu006nr63adiizra8j",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.559373,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000216",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordWed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTCe2d1f…d738
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 39,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg4qjwu006nr63adiizra8j",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T18:14:31.356Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.559373,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000216",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T16:36:24.072Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 55.9% · NO 44.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 18:14Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000216
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:40 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:40 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:40 UTC2123e…b21f
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 54,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtih8lhd0001r6fsc0j08pwj",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:40:38.859Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.521412,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000216.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000216",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:40:38.859Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordWed 2 Sept · 16:36 UTCf452d…3473
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 54,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtih8lhd0001r6fsc0j08pwj",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr30004hr66zj1ozgqj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:40:38.859Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.521412,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000216.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000216",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T16:36:24.072Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 52.1% · NO 47.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:40Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:40Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.