MQ-000221
Toulouse v Lille · Ligue 1 · Thu 3 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- 1.77
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:40 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:40 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:40 UTC8fb2a…0031
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtih8vga0031r6fss3qkvmy6",
"edge": 0.009151,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4n00rfr6zo3g6dixvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:40:38.859Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.77,
"modelProbability": 0.542133,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000221",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:40:38.859Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 45.8% · UNDER 54.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:40Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:40Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.77
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000221
- Fair price
- 1.85
- Market price
- 1.85
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 3 Sept · 07:27 UTC
- Published
- Thu 3 Sept · 07:27 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 3 Sept · 07:27 UTC2f3dc…e309
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtl7dhr50008r6fq5a26ikoy",
"edge": 0.030084,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4n00rfr6zo3g6dixvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-03T07:27:39.003Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.85,
"modelProbability": 0.541957,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000221.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000221",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-03T07:27:39.003Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 45.8% · UNDER 54.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-03 07:27Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-03 07:27Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.85
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.