MQ-000226
Lyon v Auxerre · Ligue 1 · Fri 4 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.51
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 15:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCb8880…ce90
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihvz6q000pr6mlohxs3n1g",
"edge": -0.094732,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4o00rlr6zof4e54ajo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.51,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000226",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 15:02 UTC52923…526a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihvz6q000pr6mlohxs3n1g",
"edge": -0.094732,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4o00rlr6zof4e54ajo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.51,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000226",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T15:02:05.811Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.51
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000226
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.46
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 08:39 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 08:39 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 08:39 UTC45581…68e8
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmpdpfa0002r6qf7mzqlsxn",
"edge": -0.123539,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4o00rlr6zof4e54ajo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T08:39:36.801Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000226.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000226",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T08:39:36.801Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 15:02 UTC41b51…5886
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmpdpfa0002r6qf7mzqlsxn",
"edge": -0.123539,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek4o00rlr6zof4e54ajo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T08:39:36.801Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000226.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000226",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T15:02:05.811Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 08:39Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 08:39Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.46
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.