MQ-000229
Stuttgart v FC Koln · Bundesliga · Fri 4 Sept · 18:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.67
- Market price
- 1.48
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCcae82…f858
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihw5nx002dr6mltal2cx7l",
"edge": -0.037082,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3r00o9r6zotganv0br",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.48,
"modelProbability": 0.598999,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000229",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC9eeaa…9cc5
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihw5nx002dr6mltal2cx7l",
"edge": -0.037082,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3r00o9r6zotganv0br",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.48,
"modelProbability": 0.598999,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000229",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T16:32:03.562Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 59.9% · DRAW 23.3% · AWAY 16.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.48
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000229
- Fair price
- 1.67
- Market price
- 1.45
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 15:12 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 15:12 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 15:12 UTC1a08e…77b0
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtn3eg0v0008r60r058ip3fu",
"edge": -0.057298,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3r00o9r6zotganv0br",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T15:12:01.227Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.45,
"modelProbability": 0.598999,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000229.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000229",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T15:12:01.227Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC38d3d…b0c3
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtn3eg0v0008r60r058ip3fu",
"edge": -0.057298,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3r00o9r6zotganv0br",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T15:12:01.227Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.45,
"modelProbability": 0.598999,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000229.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000229",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T16:32:03.562Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 59.9% · DRAW 23.3% · AWAY 16.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 15:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 15:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.45
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.