MQ-000233
Genoa v Como · Serie A · Fri 4 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.72
- Market price
- 1.60
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCcc158…64b3
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihwbaf0041r6ml35l9k2ve",
"edge": -0.005353,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3a00mlr6zoy95iujo8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.6,
"modelProbability": 0.580139,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000233",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTCe26b1…18c3
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihwbaf0041r6ml35l9k2ve",
"edge": -0.005353,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3a00mlr6zoy95iujo8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.6,
"modelProbability": 0.580139,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000233",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T16:32:03.562Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 42.0% · UNDER 58.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.60
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000233
- Fair price
- 1.72
- Market price
- 1.71
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 06:27 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 06:27 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 06:27 UTCe1b1d…85eb
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmkntfd000er6gotu1zxezy",
"edge": 0.027428,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3a00mlr6zoy95iujo8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T06:27:23.222Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.71,
"modelProbability": 0.579784,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000233.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000233",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T06:27:23.222Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC9d426…f017
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmkntfd000er6gotu1zxezy",
"edge": 0.027428,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3a00mlr6zoy95iujo8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T06:27:23.222Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.71,
"modelProbability": 0.579784,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000233.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000233",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T16:32:03.562Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 42.0% · UNDER 58.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 06:27Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 06:27Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.71
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000233.v2
- Fair price
- 1.72
- Market price
- 1.80
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC2248c…f6fb
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxhdnv000er6ifuejy1xmn",
"edge": 0.053455,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3a00mlr6zoy95iujo8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.579771,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000233.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000233.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 16:32 UTC32fe7…daff
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxhdnv000er6ifuejy1xmn",
"edge": 0.053455,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3a00mlr6zoy95iujo8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.579771,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000233.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000233.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T16:32:03.562Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 42.0% · UNDER 58.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.80
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.