MQ-000238
Betis v Real Madrid · La Liga · Fri 4 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.09
- Market price
- 1.38
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 20.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC9fb61…e989
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihwm1e007jr6mllzywnekw",
"edge": -0.207888,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2b00j3r6zol3e2m3x7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.38,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000238",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 17:02 UTCd0cdf…2a94
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihwm1e007jr6mllzywnekw",
"edge": -0.207888,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2b00j3r6zol3e2m3x7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.38,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000238",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T17:02:03.599Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 25.7% · DRAW 26.5% · AWAY 47.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.38
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000238
- Fair price
- 2.09
- Market price
- 1.44
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 18.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 4 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC6f2b5…f4e4
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxhhwb0012r6if6lz0erl4",
"edge": -0.184602,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2b00j3r6zol3e2m3x7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000238.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000238",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordFri 4 Sept · 17:02 UTC60826…87cf
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxhhwb0012r6if6lz0erl4",
"edge": -0.184602,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek2b00j3r6zol3e2m3x7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000238.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000238",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T17:02:03.599Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 25.7% · DRAW 26.5% · AWAY 47.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.44
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.