MQ-000253
Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig · Bundesliga · Sat 5 Sept · 13:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.09
- Market price
- 1.83
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC4e820…a849
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihx9b500fpr6ml1g96k7om",
"edge": -0.038375,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteit09600eqie04f5xif4bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.83,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000253",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC0293c…14a5
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihx9b500fpr6ml1g96k7om",
"edge": -0.038375,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteit09600eqie04f5xif4bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.83,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000253",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 25.7% · DRAW 26.5% · AWAY 47.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.83
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000253
- Fair price
- 2.09
- Market price
- 1.75
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 3 Sept · 16:48 UTC
- Published
- Thu 3 Sept · 16:48 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 3 Sept · 16:48 UTC258cf…15b2
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtlrf52x004sr6d2afc54d4m",
"edge": -0.062706,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteit09600eqie04f5xif4bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-03T16:48:19.781Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.75,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000253.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000253",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-03T16:48:19.781Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC18b87…1b69
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtlrf52x004sr6d2afc54d4m",
"edge": -0.062706,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteit09600eqie04f5xif4bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-03T16:48:19.781Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.75,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000253.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000253",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 25.7% · DRAW 26.5% · AWAY 47.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-03 16:48Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-03 16:48Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.75
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.