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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000261

MQ-000261

Nott'm Forest v Tottenham · Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 14:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 57.2% · confidence 93
החטאה
Fair price
1.75
Market price
2.51
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
19.4 percentage points
Generated
Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Published
Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Locked
Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC43959…8916
43959c0ffac460a3c67baaf8294604b9259496ab2ac77b66fb10d24a1cc18916
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtihxpe400khr6mlllvjkqhn",
 "edge": 0.194029,
 "fairOdds": 1.75,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmteisuin009oie04g29jmnsi",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.51,
 "modelProbability": 0.571863,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000261",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC31f9e…5b30
31f9e963b299c0d46ff44c64be374896394b8b0239914669dc05c638a0e85b30
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtihxpe400khr6mlllvjkqhn",
 "edge": 0.194029,
 "fairOdds": 1.75,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmteisuin009oie04g29jmnsi",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.51,
 "modelProbability": 0.571863,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000261",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 57.2% · DRAW 26.2% · AWAY 16.6%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-01 09:58Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-01 09:58Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.51
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.

Prediction proof MQ-000261 — Nott'm Forest v Tottenham · WinPIQ