MQ-000264
Man City v Coventry · Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 14:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.35
- Market price
- 1.18
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC86fdc…6b43
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihxtv300m5r6mlubjrtqlg",
"edge": -0.064322,
"fairOdds": 1.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisum8009uie0427jzl8xn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.18,
"modelProbability": 0.739024,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000264",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC1afe8…3d71
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihxtv300m5r6mlubjrtqlg",
"edge": -0.064322,
"fairOdds": 1.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisum8009uie0427jzl8xn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.18,
"modelProbability": 0.739024,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000264",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 73.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 6.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.18
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000264
- Fair price
- 1.35
- Market price
- 1.16
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 15:12 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 15:12 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 15:12 UTC7d4bb…007d
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtn3fg6d003wr60r5srj0z9u",
"edge": -0.085469,
"fairOdds": 1.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisum8009uie0427jzl8xn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T15:12:01.227Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.16,
"modelProbability": 0.739024,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000264.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000264",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T15:12:01.227Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC31578…62a8
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtn3fg6d003wr60r5srj0z9u",
"edge": -0.085469,
"fairOdds": 1.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisum8009uie0427jzl8xn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T15:12:01.227Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.16,
"modelProbability": 0.739024,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000264.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000264",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 73.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 6.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 15:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 15:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.16
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.