MQ-000271
Fulham v Crystal Palace · Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 14:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.93
- Market price
- 2.29
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC17213…ee9a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihy5ba00q5r6mlbis2b6xd",
"edge": 0.104583,
"fairOdds": 1.93,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisuwl00acie04rqai3en1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.29,
"modelProbability": 0.518043,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000271",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTCb449b…10ab
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihy5ba00q5r6mlbis2b6xd",
"edge": 0.104583,
"fairOdds": 1.93,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisuwl00acie04rqai3en1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.29,
"modelProbability": 0.518043,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000271",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 51.8% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 20.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.29
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000271
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 2.31
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 2 Sept · 15:20 UTC
- Published
- Wed 2 Sept · 15:20 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
Publication recordWed 2 Sept · 15:20 UTCd9d98…a1fb
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtk8uyrz003jr6g1losayx3g",
"edge": 0.117234,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisuwl00acie04rqai3en1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T15:20:45.529Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.31,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000271.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000271",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T15:20:45.529Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC98913…8a4d
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtk8uyrz003jr6g1losayx3g",
"edge": 0.117234,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisuwl00acie04rqai3en1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T15:20:45.529Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.31,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000271.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000271",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-02 15:20Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-02 15:20Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.31
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000271.v2
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 2.17
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTCc30f5…f9d7
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmto8qfg8002ajm04014vhxcv",
"edge": 0.088304,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisuwl00acie04rqai3en1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.17,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000271.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000271.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 12:02 UTC699ce…cc91
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmto8qfg8002ajm04014vhxcv",
"edge": 0.088304,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisuwl00acie04rqai3en1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.17,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000271.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000271.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:02:06.009Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 10:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 10:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.17
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.