MQ-000281
Inter v Napoli · Serie A · Sat 5 Sept · 16:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 2.06
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 14:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC284b2…915a
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihyjqa00uzr6mlxvu1imf0",
"edge": 0.069428,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisz8800duie04w1fltdpo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.530161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000281",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 14:02 UTC1c743…0f1f
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihyjqa00uzr6mlxvu1imf0",
"edge": 0.069428,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisz8800duie04w1fltdpo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.530161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000281",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T14:02:05.654Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 53.0% · UNDER 47.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.06
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000281
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.90
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTCc364f…ecb2
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmto8qizr004ajm04qmbctfe4",
"edge": 0.031348,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisz8800duie04w1fltdpo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.9,
"modelProbability": 0.530029,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000281.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000281",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 14:02 UTC8aadb…b00f
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmto8qizr004ajm04qmbctfe4",
"edge": 0.031348,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisz8800duie04w1fltdpo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.9,
"modelProbability": 0.530029,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000281.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000281",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T14:02:05.654Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 53.0% · UNDER 47.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 10:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 10:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.90
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.