MQ-000286
Hapoel Katamon v Ironi Kiryat Shmona · Israeli Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.99
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCa4baf…7cc7
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 40,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihywvo00y3r6mlr3h3swm3",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.99,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.502249,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000286",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTCe03ee…a109
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 40,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihywvo00y3r6mlr3h3swm3",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.99,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.502249,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000286",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T14:32:25.416Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 21.9% · DRAW 27.8% · AWAY 50.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000286
- Fair price
- 2.09
- Market price
- 2.62
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 2 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Published
- Wed 2 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Publication recordWed 2 Sept · 18:07 UTCccb5f…77e4
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtket2fo004kr6i0ycce8f17",
"edge": 0.137774,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T18:07:02.146Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.62,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000286.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000286",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T18:07:02.146Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTCf5806…e7fa
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtket2fo004kr6i0ycce8f17",
"edge": 0.137774,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T18:07:02.146Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.62,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000286.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000286",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T14:32:25.416Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 25.7% · DRAW 26.5% · AWAY 47.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-02 18:07Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-02 18:07Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.62
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.