MQ-000287
Hapoel Katamon v Ironi Kiryat Shmona · Israeli Premier League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.91
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC7531b…16ba
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 40,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihywvo00y3r6mlr3h3swm3",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.91,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.523584,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000287",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTC49fff…764a
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 40,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihywvo00y3r6mlr3h3swm3",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.91,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.523584,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000287",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T14:32:25.416Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 47.6% · UNDER 52.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000287
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- 1.75
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 2 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Published
- Wed 2 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Publication recordWed 2 Sept · 18:07 UTC97ce0…7147
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtket2fo004kr6i0ycce8f17",
"edge": -0.013088,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T18:07:02.146Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.75,
"modelProbability": 0.526386,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000287.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000287",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-02T18:07:02.146Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTC2c889…1b03
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtket2fo004kr6i0ycce8f17",
"edge": -0.013088,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-02T18:07:02.146Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.75,
"modelProbability": 0.526386,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000287.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000287",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T14:32:25.416Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 47.4% · UNDER 52.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-02 18:07Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-02 18:07Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.75
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000287.v2
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 3 Sept · 16:48 UTC
- Published
- Thu 3 Sept · 16:48 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 3 Sept · 16:48 UTCa2a71…baed
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtlrfyfw008ur6d21kz0ilok",
"edge": -0.03609,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-03T16:48:19.781Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.526737,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000287.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000287.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-03T16:48:19.781Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 14:32 UTCe2c30…50ef
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtlrfyfw008ur6d21kz0ilok",
"edge": -0.03609,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr33004tr66ztu2r1wcg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-03T16:48:19.781Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.526737,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000287.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000287.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T14:32:25.416Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 47.3% · UNDER 52.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-03 16:48Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-03 16:48Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.67
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.