MQ-000297
Roma v Atalanta · Serie A · Sat 5 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.73
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCda9ab…7e0a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzf460149r6mlmtt66ql8",
"edge": 0.023986,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.73,
"modelProbability": 0.571863,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000297",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC8cfde…1492
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzf460149r6mlmtt66ql8",
"edge": 0.023986,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.73,
"modelProbability": 0.571863,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000297",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T16:32:03.883Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 26.2% · AWAY 16.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.73
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000297
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 15:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 15:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 15:06 UTC612fd…1ac5
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtoimuqt001ujx04gwp5bvwl",
"edge": 0.001648,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T15:06:06.897Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.571863,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000297.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000297",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T15:06:06.897Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC8651c…07e0
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtoimuqt001ujx04gwp5bvwl",
"edge": 0.001648,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T15:06:06.897Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.571863,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000297.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000297",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T16:32:03.883Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.2% · DRAW 26.2% · AWAY 16.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 15:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 15:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- not recorded for this prediction
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.67
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.