MQ-000298
Roma v Atalanta · Serie A · Sat 5 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.98
- Market price
- 1.95
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC896cb…dc8e
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzf460149r6mlmtt66ql8",
"edge": 0.018054,
"fairOdds": 1.98,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.95,
"modelProbability": 0.504896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000298",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC93532…a6d4
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzf460149r6mlmtt66ql8",
"edge": 0.018054,
"fairOdds": 1.98,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.95,
"modelProbability": 0.504896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000298",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T16:32:03.883Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 50.5% · UNDER 49.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.95
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000298
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- 1.91
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTCce86b…6e45
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzez3k007or6cn29pb8427",
"edge": 0.004115,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.91,
"modelProbability": 0.500157,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000298.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000298",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTCfca81…99be
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzez3k007or6cn29pb8427",
"edge": 0.004115,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.91,
"modelProbability": 0.500157,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000298.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000298",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T16:32:03.883Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 50.0% · UNDER 50.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.91
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000298.v2
- Fair price
- 2.00
- Market price
- 2.12
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC18266…e7ec
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmto8qotj0066jm045jlbq2km",
"edge": 0.055132,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.12,
"modelProbability": 0.500158,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000298.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000298.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 16:32 UTCf6fbe…2350
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmto8qotj0066jm045jlbq2km",
"edge": 0.055132,
"fairOdds": 2,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteiszbn00e0ie044w106zpg",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.12,
"modelProbability": 0.500158,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000298.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000298.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T16:32:03.883Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 50.0% · UNDER 50.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 10:29Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 10:29Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.12
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.