MQ-000300
Villarreal v La Coruna · La Liga · Sat 5 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.56
- Market price
- 1.50
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCe4037…3824
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzjrj015xr6mld3rzr4kb",
"edge": 0.009492,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisxap00ccie04sx9on562",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.5,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000300",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 17:02 UTCd5c64…670b
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzjrj015xr6mld3rzr4kb",
"edge": 0.009492,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisxap00ccie04sx9on562",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.5,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000300",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T17:02:03.731Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 64.1% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 15.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.50
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000300
- Fair price
- 1.56
- Market price
- 1.46
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 15:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 15:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 5 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 15:06 UTC12034…65d2
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtoimw85002ijx04kir8wo71",
"edge": -0.012493,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisxap00ccie04sx9on562",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T15:06:06.897Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000300.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000300",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T15:06:06.897Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 5 Sept · 17:02 UTC03d73…e82e
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtoimw85002ijx04kir8wo71",
"edge": -0.012493,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmteisxap00ccie04sx9on562",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T15:06:06.897Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000300.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000300",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T17:02:03.731Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 64.1% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 15.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 15:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 15:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- not recorded for this prediction
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.46
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.