MQ-000304
Troyes v Strasbourg · Ligue 1 · Sun 6 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 3.05
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCc8f78…1c99
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzqut018fr6mlprg28kho",
"edge": 0.103438,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98qf2006qr68xvj9km1ig",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.05,
"modelProbability": 0.412629,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000304",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTCe1cfe…76ee
{
"confidenceScore": 61,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzqut018fr6mlprg28kho",
"edge": 0.103438,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98qf2006qr68xvj9km1ig",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.05,
"modelProbability": 0.412629,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000304",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T11:32:05.761Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 32.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 3.05
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000304
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 2.89
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 10:04 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 10:04 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 10:04 UTC8994c…c744
{
"confidenceScore": 52,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpnhlpr00a7r6vt4qxjszd2",
"edge": 0.083067,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98qf2006qr68xvj9km1ig",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T10:04:40.469Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.89,
"modelProbability": 0.412629,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000304.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000304",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T10:04:40.469Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTC8374a…2468
{
"confidenceScore": 52,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpnhlpr00a7r6vt4qxjszd2",
"edge": 0.083067,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98qf2006qr68xvj9km1ig",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T10:04:40.469Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.89,
"modelProbability": 0.412629,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000304.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000304",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T11:32:05.761Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 32.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 10:04Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 10:04Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.89
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.