MQ-000308
Frosinone v Venezia · Serie A · Sun 6 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 2.77
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 18.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCf324f…f144
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzxdd01ajr6mll0h6nqty",
"edge": 0.188383,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98a5y0046r68xo95h1pfc",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.77,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000308",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTC73c26…8297
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 22,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtihzxdd01ajr6mll0h6nqty",
"edge": 0.188383,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98a5y0046r68xo95h1pfc",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.77,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000308",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T11:32:05.761Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.77
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000308
- Fair price
- 1.93
- Market price
- 2.75
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 17.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC4e415…6c2b
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 32,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzf8gh008ur6cnmw6faxdp",
"edge": 0.172342,
"fairOdds": 1.93,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98a5y0046r68xo95h1pfc",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.75,
"modelProbability": 0.518043,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000308.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000308",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 11:32 UTC89952…f019
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 32,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzf8gh008ur6cnmw6faxdp",
"edge": 0.172342,
"fairOdds": 1.93,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98a5y0046r68xo95h1pfc",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.75,
"modelProbability": 0.518043,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000308.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000308",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T11:32:05.761Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 51.8% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 20.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.75
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000308.v2
- Fair price
- 1.93
- Market price
- 2.50
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 12:13 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 12:13 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 12:13 UTC24b0f…2e42
{
"confidenceScore": 75,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpry2gt0014r6m77y83al9w",
"edge": 0.136855,
"fairOdds": 1.93,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98a5y0046r68xo95h1pfc",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T12:13:12.604Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.5,
"modelProbability": 0.518043,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000308.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000308.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T12:13:12.604Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 51.8% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 20.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 12:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 12:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.50
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.