MQ-000321
Ein Frankfurt v Augsburg · Bundesliga · Sun 6 Sept · 15:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.13
- Market price
- 1.92
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 14:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCbdc2e…206b
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii0j7f01hpr6mlx5i6ug8d",
"edge": -0.020182,
"fairOdds": 2.13,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98ja7005qr68xzszw9s2i",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.92,
"modelProbability": 0.470543,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000321",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 14:02 UTC7f2e8…c1dc
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii0j7f01hpr6mlx5i6ug8d",
"edge": -0.020182,
"fairOdds": 2.13,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98ja7005qr68xzszw9s2i",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.92,
"modelProbability": 0.470543,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000321",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T14:02:03.840Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 47.1% · DRAW 25.1% · AWAY 27.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.92
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000321
- Fair price
- 2.12
- Market price
- 1.85
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 14:06 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 14:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 14:06 UTC5cf49…c88d
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 82,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpw41ar007ar6zcul1n2ivz",
"edge": -0.042538,
"fairOdds": 2.12,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98ja7005qr68xzszw9s2i",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T14:06:38.322Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.85,
"modelProbability": 0.472412,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000321.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000321",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T14:06:38.322Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 14:32 UTCea622…d535
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 82,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpw41ar007ar6zcul1n2ivz",
"edge": -0.042538,
"fairOdds": 2.12,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98ja7005qr68xzszw9s2i",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T14:06:38.322Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.85,
"modelProbability": 0.472412,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000321.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000321",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T14:32:05.938Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 47.2% · DRAW 25.0% · AWAY 27.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 14:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 14:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.85
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.