MQ-000325
Bologna v Sassuolo · Serie A · Sun 6 Sept · 16:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- 1.79
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 14:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCfd84e…ec48
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii0nym01j7r6mlncgge3jx",
"edge": 0.017387,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98anp004cr68x8nmeadfa",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.542586,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000325",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 14:02 UTCcb0f8…4af9
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii0nym01j7r6mlncgge3jx",
"edge": 0.017387,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98anp004cr68x8nmeadfa",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.79,
"modelProbability": 0.542586,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000325",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T14:02:03.840Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 45.7% · UNDER 54.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.79
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000325
- Fair price
- 1.83
- Market price
- 1.89
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 12:13 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 12:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 12:13 UTCa6e8c…395f
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtprzssc002mr6m7h7l4wv5k",
"edge": 0.046485,
"fairOdds": 1.83,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98anp004cr68x8nmeadfa",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T12:13:12.604Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.89,
"modelProbability": 0.547804,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000325.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000325",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T12:13:12.604Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 14:02 UTC5bde3…1d29
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtprzssc002mr6m7h7l4wv5k",
"edge": 0.046485,
"fairOdds": 1.83,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98anp004cr68x8nmeadfa",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T12:13:12.604Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.89,
"modelProbability": 0.547804,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000325.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000325",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T14:02:03.840Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 45.2% · UNDER 54.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 12:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 12:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.89
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.