MQ-000334
Juventus v Milan · Serie A · Sun 6 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCbfc3d…913c
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii16wc01o9r6mlwpgcywzo",
"edge": 0.066694,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98b5i004ir68xh3cuxid7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.521451,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000334",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 16:32 UTC4c2a2…dab2
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii16wc01o9r6mlwpgcywzo",
"edge": 0.066694,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98b5i004ir68xh3cuxid7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.521451,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000334",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T16:32:05.826Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.1% · DRAW 27.9% · AWAY 20.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000334
- Fair price
- 1.96
- Market price
- 2.10
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTCa89d7…ddcd
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzfy6600b6r6cnexp94m0l",
"edge": 0.056477,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98b5i004ir68xh3cuxid7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.1,
"modelProbability": 0.510212,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000334.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000334",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 16:32 UTC33f46…7480
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzfy6600b6r6cnexp94m0l",
"edge": 0.056477,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98b5i004ir68xh3cuxid7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.1,
"modelProbability": 0.510212,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000334.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000334",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T16:32:05.826Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 51.0% · DRAW 28.5% · AWAY 20.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.10
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000334.v2
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- 2.11
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTCf7e13…f5fd
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeu1k0004kr629zxb10g6k",
"edge": 0.070959,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98b5i004ir68xh3cuxid7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.11,
"modelProbability": 0.521451,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000334.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000334.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 16:32 UTC66e36…8f51
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeu1k0004kr629zxb10g6k",
"edge": 0.070959,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf98b5i004ir68xh3cuxid7",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.11,
"modelProbability": 0.521451,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000334.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000334.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T16:32:05.826Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.1% · DRAW 27.9% · AWAY 20.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.11
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.