MQ-000337
Espanol v Sevilla · La Liga · Sun 6 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.32
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC927d6…d45b
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1btt01prr6mlaav4fs05",
"edge": 0.015356,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf982v50032r68xthcmkfpw",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.32,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000337",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 17:02 UTCee883…388a
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1btt01prr6mlaav4fs05",
"edge": 0.015356,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf982v50032r68xthcmkfpw",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.32,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000337",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T17:02:05.051Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.32
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000337
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.27
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 3 Sept · 21:39 UTC
- Published
- Thu 3 Sept · 21:39 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 6 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 3 Sept · 21:39 UTCda839…515e
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtm1vld6009kr6qolce3jul0",
"edge": 0.020756,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf982v50032r68xthcmkfpw",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-03T21:39:26.336Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.27,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000337.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000337",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-03T21:39:26.336Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 6 Sept · 17:02 UTCe9f4d…ee08
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtm1vld6009kr6qolce3jul0",
"edge": 0.020756,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtf982v50032r68xthcmkfpw",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-03T21:39:26.336Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.27,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000337.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000337",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T17:02:05.051Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 29.1% · AWAY 26.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-03 21:39Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-03 21:39Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.27
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.