MQ-000340
Cagliari v Lecce · Serie A · Mon 7 Sept · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.34
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCc9b0f…817a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1ggr01qxr6mlroaa5onq",
"edge": -0.041986,
"fairOdds": 2.34,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirl9f004al504kfs8ecxk",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.426962,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000340",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC8d74f…ea6a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1ggr01qxr6mlroaa5onq",
"edge": -0.041986,
"fairOdds": 2.34,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirl9f004al504kfs8ecxk",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.426962,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000340",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.7% · DRAW 31.2% · AWAY 26.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000340
- Fair price
- 2.46
- Market price
- 1.99
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC48ebc…aa7a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzg3nl00byr6cn1vlfmvxo",
"edge": -0.07176,
"fairOdds": 2.46,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirl9f004al504kfs8ecxk",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.99,
"modelProbability": 0.405775,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000340.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000340",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCf40ab…728d
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzg3nl00byr6cn1vlfmvxo",
"edge": -0.07176,
"fairOdds": 2.46,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirl9f004al504kfs8ecxk",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.99,
"modelProbability": 0.405775,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000340.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000340",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 40.6% · DRAW 31.2% · AWAY 28.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.99
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000340.v2
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC5d623…2e99
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeu6x8005cr629dbp5ez2c",
"edge": -0.056364,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirl9f004al504kfs8ecxk",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.418599,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000340.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000340.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC5d27e…7603
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeu6x8005cr629dbp5ez2c",
"edge": -0.056364,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirl9f004al504kfs8ecxk",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.418599,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000340.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000340.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.9% · DRAW 32.6% · AWAY 25.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000340.v3
- Fair price
- 2.39
- Market price
- 2.13
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 16:02 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 16:02 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 16:02 UTC2c662…27a4
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 82,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrfivw20019r63lph3s7y4o",
"edge": -0.029655,
"fairOdds": 2.39,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirl9f004al504kfs8ecxk",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T16:02:08.899Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.13,
"modelProbability": 0.418599,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000340.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000340.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T16:02:08.899Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.9% · DRAW 32.6% · AWAY 25.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 16:02Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 16:02Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.13
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.